Inger Lenette

2024 Polling Biden Vs Trump.  — data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. Biden is particularly struggling with the youngest voters — he's up just 2.

Polling misses are based on averages published by the new york times in 2012, 2016 and 2020, and on.  — updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.